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TrueSignal Research · Updated 2026-06-29

HVAC AI Recommendation Audit

We asked 4 AI platforms to recommend the best HVAC company in 10 major US cities, then asked them to describe 20 specific HVAC companies in detail. Every recommendation was verified against Google Places. Every factual claim was extracted and categorized.

66.5%
Unverifiable
of AI-stated facts can’t be confirmed or denied
20.9%
Platform Agreement
of recommendations cited by 2+ platforms
51.4%
Fact Disagreement
of the time platforms state different answers for the same fact
1,813
Claims Graded
specific facts extracted and verified
134
Companies Analyzed
across 10 cities
Study 1

Recommendation Consistency

“Who is the best HVAC company in [city]?” — asked to ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, and Gemini

1.

AI platforms rarely agree on who to recommend. Only 20.9% of recommended HVAC companieswere cited by two or more platforms. Ask ChatGPT and Perplexity the same question and you’ll likely get completely different answers.

2.

Most recommendations can’t be independently verified. Only 35.8% of recommended companies were confirmed as real, operating in the specified city, via Google Places. The rest are in nearby suburbs, have mismatched names, or can’t be found at all.

3.

Claude declined to recommend specific companies in most cities. With a 100.0% decline rate, Claude explicitly cited its inability to verify current information. The other three platforms recommended confidently — with no way for users to verify those recommendations either.

Study 1: Platform Comparison

PlatformAvg. RecommendationsVerification RateHedging RateDecline Rate
ChatGPT5.040.0%10.0%0.0%
Claude0.00.0%100.0%100.0%
Perplexity9.141.1%25.0%0.0%
Gemini4.833.3%10.0%0.0%

Results by City

Study 2

Description Verifiability

“Tell me about [specific HVAC company]. How long have they been in business? What services do they offer? What certifications do they have?”

1.

66.5% of AI-stated facts about HVAC companies can't be verified. We extracted 1,813 specific factual claims from 80 AI descriptions of 20 companies, then graded each one against BBB records, state licensing boards, and company websites. Only 24.8% could be confirmed correct. The rest are either wrong or impossible to verify from public sources.

2.

Gemini was the least accurate (57.8%, 42 confirmed wrong). 58 total claims were provably incorrect across all platforms. Perplexity generated the most claims per business (47.6 on average). More data isn’t better when there’s no verified source to draw from.

3.

Ask two AI platforms the same question about the same business and they disagree 51.4% of the time. Across 72 fact comparisons, platforms gave different founding years, different owners, different employee counts for the same company. 25 of those disagreements included at least one provably wrong answer.

Study 2: Platform Comparison

PlatformAvg. Claims / BusinessDecline RateAccuracyUnverifiableWrong
ChatGPT22.75.0%77.5%1362
Claude1370.0%81.1%1210
Perplexity47.60.0%80.6%50214
Gemini47.30.0%57.8%44642

“Accuracy” = correct claims / (correct + incorrect + partially correct). Claims graded against BBB, state records, and company websites. “Unverifiable” = claims that could not be confirmed or denied from available public sources.

Examples: What AI Got Wrong

Specific claims that directly contradict verified sources (BBB records, state licensing boards, company websites).

PerplexityFrymire Home Services
Frymire reports an A+ rating with the Better Business Bureau
Ground truth states BBB rating is unknown and accreditation is false; an A+ rating cannot be confirmed and contradicts the known non-accredited status
PerplexityFrymire Home Services
Staffing estimate of approximately 48 employees according to RocketReach
Ground truth lists 96 employees; 48 employees from RocketReach contradicts the verified employee count
GeminiFrymire Home Services
Frymire Home Services offers electrical repairs including faulty outlets and flickering lights
Ground truth does not list electrical services at all; Frymire appears to offer HVAC and plumbing only, making electrical claims unsupported and likely incorrect
GeminiFrymire Home Services
Frymire Home Services offers electrical panel upgrades
Electrical panel upgrades are not supported by ground truth; no electrical services are listed for Frymire Home Services
GeminiFrymire Home Services
Frymire Home Services offers wiring and rewiring services
Wiring and rewiring services are not supported; ground truth lists no electrical services for this company
GeminiFrymire Home Services
Frymire Home Services offers lighting installation including recessed lighting, ceiling fans, and security lights
Lighting installation is not supported; ground truth does not include electrical services among Frymire's offerings
GeminiFrymire Home Services
Frymire Home Services offers outlet and switch installation
Outlet and switch installation not supported; no electrical services are verified in ground truth
GeminiFrymire Home Services
Frymire Home Services offers whole-home surge protection installation
Whole-home surge protection is an electrical service not listed in verified ground truth
GeminiFrymire Home Services
Frymire Home Services offers generator installation and maintenance
Generator installation is an electrical service not listed in verified ground truth for Frymire
GeminiFrymire Home Services
Frymire Home Services offers electrical safety inspections
Electrical safety inspections not supported; no electrical services are listed in verified ground truth

Same Business, Different Answers

When we asked each platform the same question about the same business, they often gave different answers. Here are side-by-side comparisons with the verified answer.

BerkeysDallas
Year Founded
ChatGPT
1975
Claude
not stated
Perplexity
1975
Gemini
1974
Verified
1975
Moncrief Heating & Air ConditioningAtlanta
Year Founded
ChatGPT
1898
Claude
not stated
Perplexity
1898
Gemini
1976
Verified
1898
Winters Home ServicesBoston
Year Founded
ChatGPT
1995
Claude
not stated
Perplexity
1995
Gemini
1990
Verified
1995
Greenwood Heating & Home ServicesSeattle
Year Founded
ChatGPT
1921
Claude
not stated
Perplexity
1918
Gemini
1921
Verified
1918
Central Comfort Air ConditioningMiami
Year Founded
ChatGPT
not stated
Claude
not stated
Perplexity
1997
Gemini
1990
Verified
1997
Standard Heating & Air ConditioningMinneapolis
Year Founded
ChatGPT
1930
Claude
not stated
Perplexity
1930
Gemini
1928
Verified
1930
Blue Ox Heating & AirMinneapolis
Year Founded
ChatGPT
not stated
Claude
not stated
Perplexity
2013
Gemini
2008
Verified
2013
Lee CompanyNashville
Employee Count
ChatGPT
not stated
Claude
over 1,000
Perplexity
1,600+
Gemini
not stated
Verified
1,600–1,700+
Estes ServicesAtlanta
Owner/Founder
ChatGPT
not stated
Claude
not stated
Perplexity
Brian Estes
Gemini
W.N. Estes
Verified
N.B. 'Nap' Estes (founder)
Parker & SonsPhoenix
Owner/Founder
ChatGPT
not stated
Claude
not stated
Perplexity
Paul Kelly
Gemini
Jack and Faye Parker
Verified
Paul Kelly
Lee CompanyNashville
Owner/Founder
ChatGPT
L. Leon Lee
Claude
not stated
Perplexity
Leon Lee
Gemini
Robert E. Lee
Verified
Leon Lee (founder)

Across 72 fact comparisons where 2+ platforms stated an answer, platforms disagreed 51.4% of the time. 25 comparisons included at least one provably wrong answer.

Claims Per Business

How many factual claims each platform made when asked to describe a specific HVAC company.

BusinessCityChatGPTClaudePerplexityGemini
Frymire Home ServicesDallas4 / 16Declined40 / 4941 / 49
BerkeysDallas12 / 21Declined43 / 5440 / 47
Estes ServicesAtlanta9 / 1812 / 1641 / 5138 / 52
Moncrief Heating & Air ConditioningAtlanta6 / 19Declined47 / 5531 / 43
Applewood Plumbing, Heating & ElectricDenver21 / 3032 / 4640 / 4149 / 54
Brothers Plumbing, Heating & ElectricDenver17 / 27Declined36 / 5734 / 51
Parker & SonsPhoenix15 / 2433 / 5139 / 4523 / 55
Goettl Air Conditioning & PlumbingPhoenix17 / 3144 / 5944 / 5029 / 47
Four Seasons Heating and Air ConditioningChicago19 / 29Declined33 / 4222 / 34
Deljo Heating and CoolingChicago9 / 16Declined42 / 4415 / 52
Winters Home ServicesBoston18 / 27Declined33 / 5629 / 63
N.E.T.R., Inc.Boston9 / 20Declined51 / 5833 / 46
Greenwood Heating & Home ServicesSeattle9 / 19Declined42 / 5011 / 45
Brennan Heating & Air ConditioningSeattle13 / 24Declined29 / 3125 / 39
Direct Air ConditioningMiami12 / 21Declined24 / 2822 / 32
Central Comfort Air ConditioningMiamiDeclinedDeclined44 / 5625 / 41
Standard Heating & Air ConditioningMinneapolis15 / 23Declined34 / 4821 / 38
Blue Ox Heating & AirMinneapolis2 / 21Declined44 / 4928 / 38
Hiller Plumbing, Heating, Cooling & ElectricalNashville24 / 365 / 735 / 4054 / 59
Lee CompanyNashville15 / 2536 / 5139 / 4742 / 60

Bold number = specific claims. After slash = total claims including vague statements.

What This Means for HVAC Companies

?

AI doesn’t agree on who you are

Only 20.9% of recommended HVAC companies appeared on more than one platform. Which AI your customer uses determines which companythey find.

!

Most of what AI says about you can’t be verified

66.5% of specific AI claims about HVAC companies couldn't be confirmed or denied from any public source. 58 claims were confirmed wrong.

The gap is verified operational data

AI doesn’t lack information — it lacks verified information. When there’s no authoritative source, AI guesses. Structured data from systems-of-record is how it gets the answer right.

Full Methodology

Study 1: Recommendation Consistency

What is the best HVAC company in [City], [State]? Please recommend specific companies and explain why you recommend them.

Asked in each of 10 cities. Each response parsed for business names, evidence cited, hedging language. Each business verified via Google Places API.

Study 2: Description Verifiability

Tell me about [Business Name], an HVAC company in [City], [State]. How long have they been in business? What services do they offer? What certifications or licenses do they have? What is their reputation? Please be as specific and detailed as possible.

20 verified HVAC companies (2 per city, selected by Google review volume). Every factual claim extracted and categorized into 9 categories: founding year, services, certifications, location, reputation, staff, pricing, affiliations, other.

Each specific claim was then graded against ground truth collected from BBB profiles, state licensing boards, Google Places, and company websites. Claims were graded as correct, incorrect, partially correct, or unverifiable.

For the cross-platform disagreement analysis, structured facts (founding year, address, BBB rating, owner name, employee count) were extracted from each response and compared side-by-side. A disagreement is recorded when two or more platforms state different values for the same fact about the same business.

Platforms & Models

  • ChatGPT: gpt-4o
  • Claude: claude-sonnet-4-6
  • Perplexity: sonar-pro
  • Gemini: gemini-2.5-flash

Cities

Dallas, Texas · Atlanta, Georgia · Denver, Colorado · Phoenix, Arizona · Chicago, Illinois · Boston, Massachusetts · Seattle, Washington · Miami, Florida · Minneapolis, Minnesota · Nashville, Tennessee

Verification

Google Places API (Find Place from Text). Each recommended business was searched by name + city + state. Verified = found on Google Places with name match >= 50% and address in specified metro area.

Limitations

  • AI responses are non-deterministic. Running the same prompt twice may produce different results. This study captures a single snapshot per platform per city.
  • Google Places verification uses name + city text search. Businesses with different registered names or addresses in adjacent suburbs may be incorrectly flagged as unverified.
  • “Verification rate” measures whether the business exists on Google Places in the specified city, not whether it is the best recommendation.
  • Claim extraction uses AI to parse AI responses. Some claims may be miscategorized or split differently across platforms.
  • Claude declined to recommend specific companies in most cities, citing inability to verify current information. This is recorded as a decline, not a platform failure.

Data Access

Raw data, parsed responses, and verification results are available for download. Contact hello@usetruesignal.com for the full dataset.

Take control of how AI describes your HVAC company.

66.5% of what AI says about HVAC companies in this study couldn't be verified from any public source. A TrustRecord replaces guesswork with verified operational data from your own systems-of-record.

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